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What are the worst and best case scenarios for Ireland in today's World Cup 2018 qualifier draw?

The draw for the qualifying groups for the 2018 World Cup in Russia takes place today, and with M...



What are the worst and best ca...
Soccer

What are the worst and best case scenarios for Ireland in today's World Cup 2018 qualifier draw?

The draw for the qualifying groups for the 2018 World Cup in Russia takes place today, and with Martin O'Neill's side among the fourth tier of seeds, the path to the tournament could prove difficult.

The ceremony takes place at 4pm today Irish time, with the European draw likely to start at 5.30pm.

52 of the 53 teams from UEFA go into the draw, all except Russia, who qualify automatically as hosts. With three tiers of high-quality opponents ahead of Ireland in the seeding, the dreaded group of death could await O'Neill and his charges, but there are several scenarios that could play out, depending on the draw. 

There will be seven groups containing six teams, and two groups of five teams. The nine winners of each group will qualify automatically for the tournament. That leaves four qualifying spots up for grabs, and only the best eight runners-up will enter a knockout competition to see who will progress to the World Cup, meaning that there is one group where only one team will progress.

The teams are divided up depending on their rankings into 6 different pots, which are as follows:

Pot 1: Germany, Belgium, Netherlands, Romania, England, Wales, Portugal, Spain, Croatia

Pot 2: Italy, Slovakia, Austria, Switzerland, Czech Republic, France, Iceland, Denmark, Bosnia-Herzegovina

Pot 3: Poland, Ukraine, Scotland, Hungary, Sweden, Albania, N Ireland, Serbia, Greece

Pot 4: Turkey, Slovenia, Israel, Republic of Ireland, Norway, Bulgaria, Faroe Islands, Montenegro, Estonia

Pot 5: Cyprus, Latvia, Armenia, Finland, Belarus, Macedonia, Azerbaijan, Lithuania, Moldova

Pot 6: Kazakhstan, Luxembourg, Liechtenstein, Georgia, Malta, San Marino, Andorra

The seedings mean that the road to Russia could be rocky indeed, so here are the best and worst case scenarios for Ireland. 

Best case scenario: 

Romania

Iceland

Greece

Republic of Ireland

Lithuania

Andorra

It's a long time since Greece won Euro 2004, and two recent defeats against the Faroe Islands suggest that the team is not exactly at their peak. Iceland's form sees them top their group, but they are the team in that pot with the least players involved at the highest level with their clubs. Lithuania are hardly a bad side and would be tricky, but other difficult away trips would prove to be just as tough, if not more so, while Andorra are the lowest ranked side at the moment.  

Worst case scenario:

Germany

Italy

Poland

Republic of Ireland

Cyprus

Georgia

Germany and Italy are obvious enough, old foes with whom we are far too familiar at this point. Perhaps Ireland's lowest footballing moment in recent memory took place in Cyprus, a team that is particularly difficult to beat at home, while from this campaign, we know that games against Poland and Georgia are not to be taken lightly, given that it took a very late Aiden McGeady goal to get the three points in Tbilisi. 

While that is the worst scenario, Pot 2 contains other incredibly talented and difficult opponents, such as France and Austria, while Pot 3 contains very tricky sides like Serbia, Scotland and Sweden. All that means that there are a number of difficult combinations that could await Ireland in this evening's draw. 

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